Personal ranking: Kuroneko > Ika Musume > Astarotte Ygvar > Kaname Madoka > Erica Hartmann = Sakura Kyouko > Tomoe Mami >>> Miki Sayaka.
Preparing for disappointment.
Saimoe has finally reached the point where matches are difficult to predict from the start. Lotte and Erica were both surprise winners; this could’ve been an explosive match between Mikoto and Tenshi instead. Lotte was really cute so my support goes to her although Erica is also okay. I actually have no idea who will win this. Lotte has KugiRie backing and Erica has the Strike Witches faction. Well, whoever wins is going to have a tough time in the semifinals regardless. Picking Lotte as my prediction on a whim just because her show was more recent… the last time saimoe didn’t have a KugiRie character in the top 4 was 2008, and we all know how that went (actually it’s looking to end up just like that).
Kuroneko got an unlucky draw; she’s up against a puella magi right from the start (ideally she’d be up against Erica or Lotte). On the other hand, Kyouko seems to be one of the weaker ones (Mami and Sayaka have had the highest numbers; Madoka’s numbers were smaller but you can tell that she’s definitely strong), so Kuroneko definitely has a shot. If she can get past Kyouko, her semifinal match will likely be a breeze… the issue is how to get past Kyouko. The MadoMagi faction is definitely going to go for a same-series final, and Kyouko’s the only magi on that side of the bracket. Hopefully there’s enough non-MadoMagi faction-ers to make this work out. Still predicting Kyouko because I can’t help but have a bad feeling about this.
Only one same-series match this round. I think Madoka and Sayaka are similar in strength so it should be interesting to see who the MadoMagi faction chooses. Personally I don’t like Sayaka at all; Madoka is a bit better and since she’s the main character it’d feel pretty damn normal if she won the entire tournament (normal is better than rage). Sayaka has had much better statistics, but I think Madoka will win because people just generally like her, rather than Sayaka who gets a lot of hate and is the least popular puella magi.
Ika-chan is all alone on her side of the bracket, surrounded by puella magi. This match is also pretty interesting since Ika and Mami are total opposites, but I think it’ll be an obvious victory for Mami. Ika’ll get support from her currently airing second season, but it’s not going to be enough to face who appears to be the strongest puella magi remaining. Mami has continued to impress, and she’ll probably also win against the winner of the Mado-Saya match as well. Definitely hoping Ika makes an upset, though. That would be so awesome.